Speaking on Russian organized crime at the Mob Museum in Las Vegas, October 17

Just to let people know, I’ll be holding forth on Organized Crime in Russia and its Global Impact at the Mob Museum in Las Vegas next month: you’ll find details (and how to get tickets) on their site here. I’ll be talking not just (or even mainly) about the situation in Russia, but the gangsters’ global spread, especially into the USA. There will be grisly anecdotes, vor tattoos, tales of deals done and pacts broken, and a cautionary tale about why the Russians may be less high-profile these days but are still very much a threat with which to be reckoned.

 

 

Is there a looming Russian crime threat to the Czech Republic?

I’m always cautious about high-blown warnings of impending gang wars, mafia “invasions” (Federico Varese has competently and comprehensively dismantled much of the mythology about that) and the like.

Nonetheless, I am getting alarmed by the possibility that the changing dynamics above all of drug trafficking through Russia — the rise of the “northern route” for Afghan heroin — is going to encourage Russian gangs into a renewed push into Central Europe in general, and the Czech Republic in particular. The 1990s saw the rise of Russian and other post-Soviet gangs there, a rise which was checked and reversed. While they were tamed, though, they did not disappear and they have the contacts, wealth and infrastructure to be able to re-establish a more powerful and dangerous role for themselves. As I expound in a piece in today’s Prague Post:

Ultimately, the unavoidable logic of the market means the Russians are coming. Afghan heroin is reshaping the Russian underworld, creating winners who want to establish trafficking routes through the Czech Republic, losers who are being pushed west into Central Europe and profits that need to be invested. The question is how Prague prepares itself to deter or deal with its future guests.

Crime, Corruption and Chatham House

For those of you who might be anticipating some scandalous allegations about the Royal Institute of International Affairs, then prepare to be disappointed as I have nothing but good words to say about this institution, the biggest name in UK foreign policy think tanks. This post is, rather, an explanation for my recent absence from the blog and also a pointer towards a few recent appearances.

In June, I was delighted to take part in a panel discussion with the splendid title Russia’s Rotten Core: money, politics, and the rule of law, alongside Russian billionaire Alexander Lebedev and Vladimir Ashurkov, executive director of the Russian Foundation for Fighting Corruption. I’m sure it will surprise no one who has seen Lebedev senior in action to hear that he very much used it as a platform for his own personal anti-corruption campaign, but overall this led to an interesting discussion chaired by John Lloyd, contributing editor of the Financial Times, which considered the scale and implications of the problem and steps which could be taken to address it on a national and international level. A transcript and recordings of the initial presentations and the subsequent discussion are available on the Chatham House website here.

Then in July, I was back there for a solo gig, an experts’ roundtable on Transnational Aspects of Russian Organized Crime. I can’t speak for the audience, but I found this a wonderfully stimulating event. The great virtue of a place like Chatham House is that by virtue of its pivotal status (and, let’s be honest, the less eclectic and extensive range of thinktanks compared with Washington), it attracts people with the most impressive and interesting expertise and experience and this was certainly the case here. I discussed the rise of organized crime and corruption within Russia and its spread abroad, the various forms it takes and possible measures to combat the problem. A summary of the event is also available here.

Another Go Round the ‘Brothers’ Circle’

I’ve been critical in the past of the US government’s designation of a Russian/Eurasian organized crime ‘group’ that it calls the Brothers’ Circle, I’ve grumbled that “I’ve never heard serious talk of a Brothers’ Circle” and that I’ve never seen any evidence of its existence as a specific grouping. That said, I’ve never assumed that the Treasury was full of fools and assumed that it was simply a handy generic label to allow the new anti-crime initiative something to hold on to. Let me set the record straight: while I still don’t believe the Circle exists as a specific, formally-structured organization, it’s becoming clearer just what the USG’s strategy is, and I think it’s an imaginative and clever one.

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The Chechens Under The Bed

As a little light relief from the presidential election and the subsequent punditry, I was contemplating the place of Chechens as a Russian folk devils. For once, this was not so much about terrorists and criminals but the recurring alarum of Chechen police being sent to Moscow for the election.

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Still trying to square the ‘Brother’s Circle’

The US Treasury has released the names of a series of Japanese and Eurasian crime kingpins whose assets will now be targeted. The Russian/Eurasian crooks are all linked to what USG calls the “Brothers’ Circle.”  (more…)

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