I return to the question of why the GRU is having a hard time of it at the moment (and is likely to continue to do so for a while) in my latest Moscow News column, Spooks Under Fire. They are suffering in part for being too obstreperous (and CoGS Makarov is looking to assert his authority) and also because Putin is becoming less tolerant of overlaps and turf wars within the intelligence community. Brian Whitmore makes some interesting additional observations in his latest Power Vertical blog post. We still await to hear whether military intelligence chief General Shlyakhturov will return to his post from his lengthy ‘medical leave’ – I suspect not.
All posts in category FSB
More on the GRU and its hard times
Posted by Mark Galeotti on October 21, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/10/21/more-on-the-gru-and-its-hard-times/
The FSB’s alleged order on hunting and killing targets abroad – hard to credit
The UK Daily Telegraph made quite a splash with the leak of what seems to be a secret internal FSB (Federal Security Service) document promulgating a new directive on the “observation, identification, possible return to the Russian Federation” of suspected terrorists, extremists and wanted criminals. It added that “under special directives” the FSB and the SVR (Foreign Intelligence Service) could also be tasked with the “elimination outside of the Russian Federation in the countries of Near Abroad and in the European Union, of the leaders of unlawful terrorist groups and organisations, extremist formations and associations, of individuals who have left Russia illegally [and are] wanted by federal law enforcement.” All good, exciting stuff and coincidentally fitting well with the recent assassination of Chechens in Istanbul.
Posted by Mark Galeotti on October 4, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/10/04/the-fsbs-alleged-order-on-hunting-and-killing-targets-abroad-hard-to-credit/
The not-really-so-mysterious deaths of Chechens in Turkey – and towards a future of ‘extrajudicial killings’
My latest Moscow News column looks at the assassination of three Chechens in Istanbul and the likelihood that it was a Russian intelligence operation (whether by the FSB, SVR or GRU). Obviously, assassinations are essentially Bad Things, and criminals ought to have their guilt proven in a court. While writing it, though, I did come to wonder how and why this was different from the drone strikes we see every week, Mossad (presumably) killing a Hamas leader in Dubai or, indeed, the operation against Osama Bin Laden. That’s a real, not a polemical question: in an age when terrorism is commonly transnational, and when the mechanisms for having insurgents (or their fund-raisers, logistical managers and ideological recruiting sergeants) arrested, tried or extradited are so often complex and legally- and politically-fraught, are we heading into a future in which such actions will become more, not less common? There’s already quite a solid body of academic literature in law, politics and intelligence journals on assassinations – ‘extrajudicial killings’ as the favored euphemism goes – which also reflects policy discussions. In an age in which high-speed communications has conditioned us and our masters also to high-speed responses, the temptation to reach for the quick kinetic fix must often be hard to resist for those powers with the covert capacity to carry out such operations and the geopolitical muscle (or indifference) to pay the potential political price.
Posted by Mark Galeotti on October 3, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/10/03/the-not-really-so-mysterious-deaths-of-chechens-in-turkey-and-towards-a-future-of-extrajudicial-killings/
Doku Umarov: Russia’s second-best friend in Chechnya?
One of the virtues about having old dogs is that you have slow, gentle walks with ample time to ruminate. While contemplating the entirely welcome news of the death by drone of Anwar al-Awlaki, I began wondering quite why Chechen ’emir’ Doku Umarov was still alive. Although he and his people have a goodly degree of wilderness smarts, I don’t get the sense that they are always that careful with communications intelligence (which after all did for his several-times-removed predecessor Dzhokar Dudaev) and there are enough fissures and rivalries amongst ‘Caucasus Emirate’ leaders that one might have expected some actionable leaks as to his plans or location (as may have happened to Shamil Basaev).
Posted by Mark Galeotti on October 1, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/10/01/doku-umarov-russias-second-best-friend-in-chechnya/
‘State Building in Putin’s Russia: policing and coercion after Communism’ by Brian Taylor (2011)
Another quick foreshadowing of a forthcoming review, this time in the Russian Review. Read the review for my full comments, but in brief, State Building in Putin’s Russia: policing and coercion after Communism is an excellent and deeply-researched book on the MVD and other institutions of internal control under Putin. Brian Taylor (Maxwell School, Syracuse University) very usefully conceptualizes the siloviki of the military and security interests as at once a cohort (a distinct social body with certain common traits and values), clans (competing factions) and corporate (bureaucratic and institutional) interests. However, the core of this book is devoted to assessing the overall contribution of the police and security institutions to the development of the Russian state, demonstrating that state capacity only improved to a very slightly, a process largely limited by an inattention to what he calls “state quality” – essentially, good governance and the satisfaction of society’s needs. Taylor doesn’t really dig into how far poor governance reflects a failure of Putin’s state-building project and how far it is because Putin wasn’t interested in this kind of thing but wanted to create a centralized hybrid state. What this first-class book proves, though, is that even if Putin thinks he got what he wanted from the siloviki, if his aim was lasting, effective and reliable state building, then he was wrong.
(In fairness, though, I’d in any case always be a sucker for a book that declares itself to be committed to “bringing the gun back in” to the comparative literature on states.)
Taylor, Brian D. State Building in Putin’s Russia: Policing and Coercion after Communism. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2011. xviii + 373 pp. $95.00. ISBN 978-0-521-76088-1.
Posted by Mark Galeotti on August 30, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/08/30/state-building-in-putins-russia-policing-and-coercion-after-communism-by-brian-taylor-2011/
‘Siloviks & Scoundrels’: my new column in the Moscow News
Time for a brief and self-indulgent excursion into self-publicity: today saw the publication of the first article in a new column I’ll be writing for the Moscow News. Entitled Siloviks & Scoundrels, it will cover issues relating to crime and policing, espionage and the military, and all the myriad other issues relating to Russian (in)security. The first article looks at prosecutor Sergei Kudeneyev’s new challenges, and future columns will look at topics including the reality of Russia’s crime statistics, how organized is Russian organized crime and the semiology of police uniforms…
Posted by Mark Galeotti on July 18, 2011
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/2011/07/18/siloviks-scoundrels-my-new-column-in-the-moscow-news/
